Earned Schedule   Earned Schedule - An extension to Earned Value Management
 
 

The Earned Schedule (ES) calculators are freely available and downloadable from this site.  There are two Excel spreadsheets.  The one most used (v1) does not account for partial periods, that is, the first period and the last.  The second version (v2) does account for partial periods.

The v1 calculator assumes in the calculations that all periods are full and not partial.  Once several periods are involved in the calculation, the error introduced becomes negligible.  For those that are applying ES to weekly Earned Value, the error is small from the outset.

For a discussion of the error in the ES calculation please reference the Presentations page for the .pdf file, “Earned Schedule Training,” 17th IIPMC, Nov 7-9, 2005.  The section “Interpolation Error” discusses the partial period along with other sources of error.

ES Calculator v1b (does not account for partial periods)
ES Calculator v2c (does account for partial periods)



 

The special case ES calculator is intended for small projects having downtime and stop work conditions. The calculator produces special indicators and forecasts. Comparison of the special to uncorrected ES forecast is made available.

ES Calculator vs1b (special cases)

 


The Earned Schedule-Longest Path calculator assists in making the longest path forecasts. It is very similar to the basic ES calculator, and is easy to apply. To determine the longest path, forecasts are to be made for all network paths of the schedule which conclude at project completion. For each status point, the path having the longest duration forecast is taken to best represent the project.

ES-LP Calculator v1a




The P-Factor calculator is a set of Excel spreadsheets.  From the baseline schedule and actual performance, the calculator provides a numerical indicator of how well the schedule is followed, i.e. a measure of “schedule adherence.”  Other outputs from the calculator are the identification of tasks which may be experiencing constraints or impediments, forecast of final cost and duration, high and low outcome prediction, and probability of meeting the project cost and schedule commitments.

P-Factor Calculator v1b



The Schedule Adherence and Rework Calculator utilizes the periodic values for the P-factor and the EV accrued to compute and graph the EV accomplished out of sequence and the rework it causes.

SA Index & Rework Calculator v2



The Prediction Analysis Calculator identifies the likelihood that the project will complete at a desired time (ED). The spreadsheet determines the point at which the project exceeds the threshold and becomes “out of control.” The calculator is useful for assessing the opportunity for project recovery and having a successful outcome.

Prediction Analysis Calculator v1




Statistical Forecasting Calculator (v2c) computes high and low confidence limits for final cost and schedule duration. The calculator is reasonably simple to apply. The user does not require in-depth understanding of statistics.

Statistical Forecasting Calculator v2c
  Application Instructions
  Example – Late Finish, daily status






Statistical Planning Calculator (Probability & Reserves) is intended to assist planning teams for strategizing the amounts of cost and schedule reserve needed to achieve a desired probability of success.  Use of the calculator requires either estimates or historical variation from past projects.

Statistical Planning Calculator




The Stability Point Calculator determines the observation number in a sequence of CPI and SPI(t) values at which all subsequent observations are within a defined stability limit.  

Stability Point Calculator

 

 
Concept Description
EVM Time Forecasting
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Training Sources
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EVM - ES Tools
ES Book
ES Book (translation)
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